There is a time and a place for every shadow and cloud
A beautiful NYT project masterfully handling time and space dynamics
forecasting
Pining for less precise forecasting
The rise of continuously updated forecasts
Combining probabilities
Kaiser explains how probabilities are aggregated.
Is Waze a ruse?
Kaiser tracks a trip on Waze and has more questions and answers.
99.4% art, 0.6% data
Kaiser looks behind the CDC's "nowcast" of Omicron, and finds nothing.