All else is never equal
Kaiser discusses the popular all-else-being-equal analyses.
Models
Do better
Kaiser reads some misleading NEJM data graphics.
Reading Gelman's take on election polling
Kaiser reads Andrew Gelman's paper about failures in election forecasting.
Open questions of the pandemic, part 2
Kaiser continues to discuss open questions of the pandemic, including questions raised by a recent White House graphic.
Common misreading of data with time lags
Kaiser reminds you that the media told us Delta was less severe, and they got it wrong.
99.4% art, 0.6% data
Kaiser looks behind the CDC's "nowcast" of Omicron, and finds nothing.