Pining for less precise forecasting
The rise of continuously updated forecasts
Models
Wishful thinking using statistics
Do observational data really support the theory that weight-loss drugs have caused the average Norwegian to be less obese?
It's 2016 all over again: resurfacing my post from 2016
This election forecasting business, again
The forbidding math of finding terrorists
New York subway tests a gun detection technology
Correlation and causation
Does giving compliments improve team performance?
Waze user saying
Another Waze user sends testimony.