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Models

Loose lips sink hearts
Assumptions

Loose lips sink hearts

Loose language in medical research sinks hearts
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The player who scored on his or her birthday
Assumptions

The player who scored on his or her birthday

What is the chance that a football player scores on his birthday?
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From elevator music to causal thinking
Cause-effect

From elevator music to causal thinking

An elevator ad prompts causal thinking
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Pining for less precise forecasting
forecasting

Pining for less precise forecasting

The rise of continuously updated forecasts
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Wishful thinking using statistics
Assumptions

Wishful thinking using statistics

Do observational data really support the theory that weight-loss drugs have caused the average Norwegian to be less obese?
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It's 2016 all over again: resurfacing my post from 2016
election forecasting

It's 2016 all over again: resurfacing my post from 2016

This election forecasting business, again
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