Illusion of perfection
The illusion of perfection ignores statistical uncertainty
Models
Loose lips sink hearts
Loose language in medical research sinks hearts
The player who scored on his or her birthday
What is the chance that a football player scores on his birthday?
From elevator music to causal thinking
An elevator ad prompts causal thinking
Pining for less precise forecasting
The rise of continuously updated forecasts
Wishful thinking using statistics
Do observational data really support the theory that weight-loss drugs have caused the average Norwegian to be less obese?