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Models

Book review: Don't Trust Your Gut
Assumptions

Book review: Don't Trust Your Gut

Kaiser reads Seth Stephens-Davidowitz new book.
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The difference between prediction and estimation
Algorithms

The difference between prediction and estimation

Kaiser reacts to an Efron paper on statistical vs. machine learning models.
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Are 81 percent of Elon Musk's twitter followers fake?
Algorithms

Are 81 percent of Elon Musk's twitter followers fake?

Kaiser reads an estimate of Musk's spam proportion.
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All else is never equal
Analytics-business interaction

All else is never equal

Kaiser discusses the popular all-else-being-equal analyses.
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Do better
Covid-19

Do better

Kaiser reads some misleading NEJM data graphics.
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Reading Gelman's take on election polling
Aggregation

Reading Gelman's take on election polling

Kaiser reads Andrew Gelman's paper about failures in election forecasting.
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